Seeking Alpha: Which Catalyst Will Make Green Mountain Fall?

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Check out my recent article on Seeking Alpha giving an updated rationale behind our fund’s Short position in Green Mountain:

 

Which Catalyst Will Make Green Mountain Fall?
by Yaron “Ron” Reuven

Starbucks Green Mountain CoffeeGreen Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR) is the Vermont Based K-Cup and [Keurig] brewer manufacturer that has been the darling of its home state and a cult of retail investors that have enjoyed the catapult of its stock price over the last few years–peaking at $115 before the collapse to $50 (and lower for a short time). Since this collapse has become very public recently–through the extraordinary 110 slide presentation by David Einhorn, Sam Antar’s articulate white collar blog, CNBC’s Herb Greenberg, and countless other media sources that covered both sides of the argument–I will try to limit our rationale behind our short positions on a few crucial bullets. read more »

“This Blog is for the purpose of sharing of personal opinion and should not be construed in any way as advice. The information contained in this report or information provided does not purport to be complete description of the securities, markets or developments referred to in this material. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. The contributors to this blog and or their affiliates may directly or indirectly have active positions in the securities that are mentioned. Expressions of opinion are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. This information is not intended as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security referred to herein. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. Ron Reuven is the Chief Investment Officer of Reuven Capital Investments, LP (long/short equity hedge fund).”

Voices: Ron Reuven, On starting a Hedge Fund

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Ron Reuven, CEO & President of Reuven Enterprises Inc. is featured in the Wall Street Journal article titled “Voices: Ron Reuven, On Starting a Hedge Fund

Click Here To Read the Article

Enjoy!

“This Blog is for the purpose of sharing of personal opinion and should not be construed in any way as advice. The information contained in this report or information provided does not purport to be complete description of the securities, markets or developments referred to in this material. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. The contributors to this blog and or their affiliates may directly or indirectly have active positions in the securities that are mentioned. Expressions of opinion are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. This information is not intended as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security referred to herein. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. Ron Reuven is the Chief Investment Officer of Reuven Capital Investments, LP (long/short equity hedge fund).”

The Middle East

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As I have done throughout the years, my Year End Letter is when I take the opportunity to let our investors know some of our achievements, disappointments as well as some insight to my personal views and thought process on specific issues at hand in the market and world we are in.  Over the next few weeks, I will post a few excerpts from the 2011 Year End letter about some issues I think you’d find very interesting.  Our first topic is going to be my view on the Middle East.

The Middle East

It looks like some of the major revolutions in the Middle East countries are behind us, but some Occupy Wall Street protestors in the US tried to prolong it. Unfortunately for the OWS protesters, they were asking for economic “fairness” (realistic or not), along wit many other personal requests of forgiveness of college loans and credit card debt [some used to subsidize their partying], jobs without qualification, experience or effort, privileged life without working, and a permanent Woodstock.  I think that’s called Heaven, or maybe that’s Hell? The people from the Middle East were only asking for the simple request of not paying more than they make to taxes and corruption. A bit of a difference.

The biggest risk in the Middle East, and the world for that matter, remains Iran.  I have been saying for some time that a war with Iran is inevitable, and only a matter of when, rather than if. I don’t believe Israel can afford to continue being patient, and wait for the okay from the US.   I also don’t think that the US should remain patient, waiting for the Iranian political leaders to stop being what they are.   I have no doubt in my mind that if Iran had nuclear weapons today, they would press the button immediately (targeting Israel) and ask questions later.   When it relates to the market, we believe a war in the Middle East will do a few things. The initial market reaction would be a major spike in oil prices, along with a short term downtrend in the stock market.  Shortly after, investors will begin anticipating the added revenues and jobs that will be created as a result of this war, and will begin a market rally strong enough to pull a country out of a recession.  In fact, several recessions have ended as a result of war throughout history.

Enjoy, and keep posted for the next excerpt.

“This Blog is for the purpose of sharing of personal opinion and should not be construed in any way as advice. The information contained in this report or information provided does not purport to be complete description of the securities, markets or developments referred to in this material. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. The contributors to this blog and or their affiliates may directly or indirectly have active positions in the securities that are mentioned. Expressions of opinion are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. This information is not intended as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security referred to herein. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. Ron Reuven is the Chief Investment Officer of Reuven Capital Investments, LP (long/short equity hedge fund).”
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